Divergence and momentum signals will populate from computed data.
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GLD 1M Return
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USO 1M Return
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Gold/Oil Ratio
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Avg RSI
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DBC Return
TickerTimeframe
View
Performance Ranking — 1M Returns
Gold vs Oil — Cumulative Return Divergence
Energy vs Metals — Sector Comparison
Ticker
Category
1W
1M
3M
RSI 14
vs SMA50
Ticker
Category
1M Return
3M Return
RSI 14
vs SMA50
Last Close
Action Framework
If Gold/Oil Rising
Risk-off positioning — favor precious metals over cyclicals. Consider GLD overweight and USO underweight.
If Broad Strength
Inflationary environment — rotate into DBC or commodity producers. Monitor CPI prints for confirmation.
If Energy Leading
Supply-driven rally — evaluate USO/UNG for momentum entry. Watch inventory data for sustainability.
If RSI Extremes
Mean-reversion opportunity — overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) signals flag tactical entry/exit windows.
Overview
This analysis tracks eight commodity ETFs spanning precious metals,
energy, industrial metals, and agriculture. The goal is to identify
commodity cycle positioning, inter-sector divergences, and momentum
signals that inform inflation expectations and risk allocation.
The gold-to-oil ratio serves as a key macro barometer: rising ratios
signal risk-off sentiment and flight to safety; falling ratios indicate
growth optimism and demand-pull inflation. Energy versus metals divergence
further decomposes the supply-demand picture across commodity sub-sectors.
Universe
GLD — SPDR Gold Trust (precious metals)
SLV — iShares Silver Trust (precious metals)
USO — United States Oil Fund (energy)
UNG — United States Natural Gas Fund (energy)
DBC — Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (broad)
COPX — Global X Copper Miners ETF (industrial metals)
WEAT — Teucrium Wheat Fund (agriculture)
DBA — Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (agriculture)
Strengths
Multi-sector commodity coverage in a single view
Gold/oil ratio provides macro regime signal
RSI and SMA50 momentum overlay for tactical timing
Check the BLOT headline.
The bottom-line summary captures the dominant commodity theme:
gold-oil divergence, broad strength/weakness, or sector rotation.
This is the single most important takeaway.
Read the metrics strip.
GLD and USO 1M returns show directional positioning.
The gold/oil ratio above 1.0 indicates gold outperformance.
Average RSI flags aggregate overbought/oversold conditions.
Select a chart view.
Performance shows ranked 1M returns across all tickers.
Gold vs Oil reveals the divergence trend with shading.
Energy vs Metals shows sector-level rotation.
Momentum provides the multi-timeframe heatmap.
Use the momentum heatmap.
Green cells indicate positive returns; red cells indicate losses.
Color intensity scales with magnitude. Look for consistent
color across 1W/1M/3M for trend confirmation.
Sort the summary table.
Click any column header to rank the universe. A commodity with
strong 1M and 3M returns, RSI between 40–65, and price
above SMA50 is in a confirmed uptrend.
Key Equations
Cumulative Return (Indexed)
$$P_t = 100 \times \prod_{i=1}^{t}(1 + r_i)$$
where $r_i$ is the period return at time $i$. Starting value is 100.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
$$\text{RSI} = 100 - \frac{100}{1 + RS}$$
where $RS = \frac{\text{Avg Gain over } n \text{ periods}}{\text{Avg Loss over } n \text{ periods}}$ with $n = 14$ by default.